Hello Evoke,
I live in a small town outside of Rochester New York, in the Northeast of the United States. My town is located right on the Eerie Canal and the region boarders Lake Ontario to the north, the finger lakes region to the south east, and if you travel west you eventually find the majesty of Niagara falls.
So in such a water filled, green area how could there be food security issues? I was hard pressed my self to answer that. I could speak on climate change, water resource problems and food security on a world wide basis but what about where I lived. So I did some research and this blog post is what I found out.
I find a doc**ent from 2007 called "Confronting climate change in the U.S. Northeast" A report of the Northeast Climate Impacts A****sment prepared by the Union of concerned scientists. This is a NECIA report, The full text of this report and additional technical background information are available on the NECIA website (
http://www.northeastclimateimpacts.org) or may be obtained from: UCS Publications
2 Brattle Square Cambridge, MA 02238-9105 Or email pubs@ucsusa.org or call (617) 547-5552.
So I read the report and found a section on climate impact on Food in the North East. So the concerns here reflect right where I and 1 million other residents live.
What did the scientists conclude from there study?
- Farmers in the Northeast will face increasing uncertainty and risk as they attempt to adapt to the effects of climate change.
- A longer growing season may allow farmers to experiment with new crops, but many traditional farm operations in the region will become unsustainable without adaptation strategies that could be quite costly in some cases.
- Without adaptation measures, increasing summer heat stress is projected, by mid-century, to depress milk production and the yields of a number of economically important crops across southern parts of the region, particularly under the higher-emissions scenario. By late-century under this scenario, milk production across much of the region could decline 5 to 20 percent in certain months, with the greatest losses in Pennsylvania and New Jersey. By contrast, little change is expected under the lower-emissions scenario.
- Parts of the Northeast are projected to become unsuitable for growing certain popular varieties of apples, blueberries, and cranberries by mid-century, since they require long winter-chill periods to produce fruit.
- European wine grapes are expected to benefit from warmer winters, but yields of native grape varieties such as the Concord are projected to decline.
- Weed problems and pest-related damage are likely to escalate, increasing pressures on farmers to use more herbicides and pesticides.
- An increasing number of storms producing heavy rainfall may delay spring planting and damage crops and soils, while more frequent droughts during the growing season—particularly under the higher-emissions scenario—could make irrigation essential for most high-value crops.
- By late-century many of these trends are projected to be highly pronounced across most of the Northeast under the higher-emissions scenario, but more constrained in magnitude and geographic extent under the lower-emissions scenario.
So no matter where you live, the plains of Africa or the Northeast of North America, Climate change and food security concerns threatens us all, and only by working together will we stand a chance of surviving the coming century.
So what are we Rochesterains doing to confront these problems? see my next post for that...
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